US Dollar (DX-Y.NYB)

Composite signal at decile 4/10 (NEUTRAL) as of 2026-06-12 → calibrated P(8%+ drawdown within 120 trading days) = 0% (base rate 4%)

composite hit decile 9-10 (high warning) on 1,277 days; of those, 216 (17%) preceded a real 8%+ drawdown over the next 120 days · base rate 3.9%